Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Veronique
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cattaleya 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 65 60 60 -5 2 Veronique 6 55.0 2 0.75 0.0 55 55 55 +0 3 Eternal Optimist 2 59.0 3 3.00 0.0 66 61 61 -5 4 Fly To Rio 4 55.0 4 3.75 0.5 56 51 51 -5 5 Miss New York 3 61.0 5 4.25 0.5 68 63 63 -5 6 Dream Searcher 2 57.5 6 5.00 0.0 62 56 56 -6 7 Try Me 4 57.5 7 5.40 0.5 63 55 55 -8 8 Im The Buzz 5 60.0 8 5.80 0.0 65 61 61 -4 9 Nile The Boss 4 58.5 9 7.30 0.5 65 57 57 -8 10 Summer Night City 5 58.0 10 8.05 0.0 62 57 57 -5 11 Apple Catcher 3 59.5 11 8.80 0.5 65 59 59 -6 12 Fire Chaser 2 53.5 12 18.80 0.0 55 48 48 -7 99 Cloud Chaser 3 58.5 99 0.00 0.5 - 57 57 +0 99 Electric Feels 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 45 45 +0 99 Black Path 6 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 46 46 +0 99 Hang Out The Stars 5 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cattaleya | 65 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Veronique Line | 55 | 56 | 55 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Eternal Optimist | 66 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fly To Rio | 56 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Miss New York | 68 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Dream Searcher | 62 | 87 | 56 | +31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Try Me | 63 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 8 | Im The Buzz | 65 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Nile The Boss | 65 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 0.5 | - | |
| 10 | Summer Night City | 62 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Apple Catcher | 65 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Fire Chaser | 55 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cloud Chaser | - | 68 | 57 | +11 | 0.5 | - | |
| 99 | Electric Feels | - | 57 | 45 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Black Path | - | 58 | 46 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hang Out The Stars | - | 58 | 54 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points