Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 83 & below)
Line Horse
Sascha's Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hodgepodge 3 57.5 1 0.00 4.5 82 87 87 +5 2 Sascha's Dream 3 54.5 2 0.25 4.5 81 81 81 +0 3 El Rey Viene 5 58.5 3 1.15 0.0 71 104 104 +33 4 Arverni King 5 64.0 4 2.65 0.0 81 113 113 +32 5 Jaham 3 64.0 5 3.05 4.5 89 103 103 +14 6 Blackberry Breeze 4 60.0 6 3.35 2.0 73 100 100 +27 7 Escapologist 5 59.0 7 5.55 0.0 77 99 99 +22 8 French Trip 4 64.0 8 5.80 2.0 81 105 105 +24 9 Queen Amina 3 57.5 9 6.80 4.5 83 87 87 +4 10 Master Of Destiny 8 56.0 10 7.40 0.0 73 93 93 +20 11 Stormy Choice 4 59.0 11 7.60 2.0 81 95 95 +14 12 Intuitive Spirit 4 60.0 12 17.60 2.0 73 97 97 +24 13 Professor Lupin 4 61.5 13 99.99 2.0 76 100 100 +24 99 Hot Strike 7 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 93 93 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hodgepodge | 82 | 78 | 87 | -9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Sascha's Dream Line | 81 | 75 | 81 | -6 | 4.5 | ||
| 3 | El Rey Viene | 71 | 77 | 104 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Arverni King | 81 | 86 | 113 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jaham | 89 | 89 | 103 | -14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Blackberry Breeze | 73 | 71 | 100 | -29 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Escapologist | 77 | 77 | 99 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | French Trip | 81 | 88 | 105 | -17 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Queen Amina | 83 | 76 | 87 | -11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Master Of Destiny | 73 | 73 | 93 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Stormy Choice | 81 | 81 | 95 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Intuitive Spirit | 73 | 57 | 97 | -40 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Professor Lupin | 76 | 67 | 100 | -33 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hot Strike | - | 59 | 93 | -34 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points