Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Southern Style
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Risky Business 3 55.0 1 0.00 1.0 56 49 56 +0 2 Can't Catch Me 5 52.5 2 0.05 0.0 50 46 46 -4 3 Southern Style 5 58.0 3 0.50 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Calida 2 59.0 4 1.00 0.0 66 63 63 -3 5 Gimme The Flame 5 59.0 5 2.25 0.0 64 62 62 -2 6 Sail The Sky 4 58.5 6 2.50 0.5 65 59 59 -6 7 Coming In Hot 3 60.5 7 3.80 1.0 67 61 61 -6 8 Written In Stone 9 54.0 8 3.90 0.0 54 50 50 -4 9 Oh My Gucci Girl 3 55.0 9 4.00 1.0 75 50 65 -10 10 Green Sceptre 2 55.5 10 4.10 0.0 57 53 53 -4 11 Bob Lee Swagger 4 57.0 11 5.50 0.5 67 54 57 -10 12 Thymetoshine 5 55.0 12 13.00 0.0 56 51 51 -5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Risky Business | 56 | 75 | 56 | +19 | 1.0 | - | |
| 2 | Can't Catch Me | 50 | 58 | 46 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Southern Style Line | 62 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Calida | 66 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gimme The Flame | 64 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sail The Sky | 65 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 0.5 | - | |
| 7 | Coming In Hot | 67 | 76 | 61 | +15 | 1.0 | - | |
| 8 | Written In Stone | 54 | 67 | 50 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Oh My Gucci Girl | 75 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 1.0 | - | |
| 10 | Green Sceptre | 57 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bob Lee Swagger | 67 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 0.5 | - | |
| 12 | Thymetoshine | 56 | 51 | 51 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points