Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Narcos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gimme's Laddie 2 61.0 1 0.00 0.5 88 90 88 +0 2 Ubisika 2 59.5 2 3.00 0.5 86 87 87 +1 3 Narcos 3 60.5 3 3.10 1.5 87 87 87 +0 4 Forest Spy 2 58.5 4 3.20 0.5 83 85 85 +2 5 Siberian Steel 3 58.5 5 4.45 1.5 83 83 83 +0 6 On The Road Again 3 56.5 6 4.95 1.5 79 79 79 +0 7 Transact 3 58.0 7 5.00 1.5 82 82 82 +0 8 Below Deck 4 56.5 8 13.25 2.0 80 78 78 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimme's Laddie | 88 | 101 | 88 | +13 | 0.5 | - | |
| 2 | Ubisika | 86 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | Narcos Line | 87 | 86 | 87 | -1 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Forest Spy | 83 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 5 | Siberian Steel | 83 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | On The Road Again | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Transact | 82 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Below Deck | 80 | 72 | 78 | -6 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points