Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 29 JULY MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Pembroke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Gimme More Time      5    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   84    84           84    +0
2    Pembroke             3    56.5    2    3.25     1.0   79    79           79    +0
3    Fateful Day          3    60.0    3    4.00     1.0   86    85           85    -1
4    Timbavati River      3    55.5    4    4.25     1.0   77    76           76    -1
5    Waz Wouter           4    58.5    5    4.75     0.5   85    82           82    -3
6    Gunsmoke             3    52.0    6    5.00     1.0   69    68           68    -1
7    No Place Like Home   2    58.0    7    5.75     0.0   84    82           82    -2
8    Storm Commander      5    56.5    8    6.75     0.0   79    79           79    +0
9    Kingdom Of Heaven    5    60.5    9    7.00     0.0   87    87           87    +0
10   Legal Thriller       4    57.0    10   7.25     0.5   82    79           79    -3
11   Anatolian Silver     3    56.0    11   8.25     1.0   80    76           76    -4
12   Safe Return          3    60.0    12   10.50    1.0   86    84           84    -2
13   Dowser               5    61.0    13   10.60    0.0   88    88           88    +0
14   Dubai Hills          4    58.5    14   10.85    0.5   85    82           82    -3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Gimme More Time 84 87 84 +3 0.0 -
2 Pembroke Line 79 79 79 ✓ Match 1.0
3 Fateful Day 86 93 85 +8 1.0 -
4 Timbavati River 77 79 76 +3 1.0 -
5 Waz Wouter 85 84 82 +2 0.5 -
6 Gunsmoke 69 68 68 ✓ Match 1.0 -
7 No Place Like Home 84 80 82 -2 0.0 -
8 Storm Commander 79 74 79 -5 0.0 -
9 Kingdom Of Heaven 87 79 87 -8 0.0 -
10 Legal Thriller 82 70 79 -9 0.5 -
11 Anatolian Silver 80 78 76 +2 1.0 -
12 Safe Return 86 83 84 -1 1.0 -
13 Dowser 88 84 88 -4 0.0 -
14 Dubai Hills 85 95 82 +13 0.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points