Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: THE HKJC CHAMPIONS CUP (Grade 1) (Horses at Weight-For-Age)
Line Horse
Cousin Casey
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dave The King 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 127 122 122 -5 2 Cousin Casey 2 60.0 2 1.40 0.0 125 125 125 +0 3 Purple Pitcher 4 58.5 3 2.40 0.5 120 120 120 +0 3 See It Again 2 60.0 3 2.40 0.0 131 124 124 -7 5 Flag Man 3 58.5 5 2.70 1.5 126 118 118 -8 6 Royal Victory 5 60.0 6 3.10 0.0 125 124 124 -1 7 Hluhluwe 2 58.5 7 3.70 0.0 116 120 120 +4 8 Barbaresco 4 58.5 8 5.60 0.5 122 118 118 -4 9 Double Superlative 3 60.0 9 10.60 1.5 124 119 119 -5 99 Winchester Mansion 3 60.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 119 119 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dave The King | 127 | 128 | 122 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cousin Casey Line | 125 | 125 | 125 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Purple Pitcher | 120 | 121 | 120 | +1 | 0.5 | - | |
| 3 | See It Again | 131 | 130 | 124 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flag Man | 126 | 126 | 118 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Royal Victory | 125 | 124 | 124 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hluhluwe | 116 | 118 | 120 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Barbaresco | 122 | 116 | 118 | -2 | 0.5 | - | |
| 9 | Double Superlative | 124 | 124 | 119 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Winchester Mansion | - | 129 | 119 | +10 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points