Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 CONDITIONAL MAIDEN (Mdns 3 runs or more & NR 66 or less R5 000 Win bonus ROA Mem)
Line Horse
Island Master
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Belle's First Wave 3 58.0 1 0.00 1.5 53 52 52 -1 2 Island Master 3 60.0 2 0.50 1.5 63 63 63 +0 3 Crimson Comet 3 58.0 3 1.25 1.5 74 58 64 -10 4 Sundrop 6 54.0 4 4.00 0.0 53 49 49 -4 5 Fearless Badger 4 59.0 5 4.25 0.5 60 58 58 -2 6 Dance Mo 3 54.5 6 5.00 1.5 54 45 45 -9 7 Sister Midnight 3 49.5 7 5.50 1.5 25 35 35 +10 8 Lord Capulet 3 57.0 8 12.75 1.5 52 50 50 -2 9 Pantador 2 56.0 9 31.75 0.0 40 51 51 +11 10 Portcullis 3 60.0 10 99.99 1.5 63 56 56 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belle's First Wave | 53 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Island Master Line | 63 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Crimson Comet | 74 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Sundrop | 53 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Fearless Badger | 60 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 0.5 | - | |
| 6 | Dance Mo | 54 | 54 | 45 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Sister Midnight | 25 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Lord Capulet | 52 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Pantador | 40 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Portcullis | 63 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points