Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Fillies & Mares)

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Line Horse
National Disgrace
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Charlotte Bronte     3    59.5    1    0.00     9.0   73    52           52    -21
2    State Capitol        4    53.0    2    2.00     7.0   58    46           48    -10
3    National Disgrace    2    57.5    3    2.20     0.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Sansa Stark          4    58.0    4    2.40     7.0   70    55           60    -10
5    Lavender Bay         4    60.0    5    3.65     7.0   -     58           58    +58
6    Wehaveasituation     4    54.0    6    3.75     7.0   62    46           52    -10
7    Dymondia             2    52.0    7    9.75     0.0   58    55           55    -3
8    Lucky Thirteen       4    52.0    8    11.50    7.0   58    41           48    -10
9    Verdant Views        2    56.0    9    13.75    0.0   -     63           63    +63
99   Opera Verse          4    51.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     40           40    +0
99   Blind Faith          4    52.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     42           42    +0
99   English Mistress     4    60.0    99   0.00     7.0   -     57           57    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Charlotte Bronte 73 77 52 +25 9.0 -
2 State Capitol 58 55 48 +7 7.0 -
3 National Disgrace Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 0.0
4 Sansa Stark 70 63 60 +3 7.0 -
5 Lavender Bay - 95 58 +37 7.0 -
6 Wehaveasituation 62 73 52 +21 7.0 -
7 Dymondia 58 49 55 -6 0.0 -
8 Lucky Thirteen 58 49 48 +1 7.0 -
9 Verdant Views - 64 63 +1 0.0 -
99 Opera Verse - 50 40 +10 7.0 -
99 Blind Faith - 52 42 +10 7.0 -
99 English Mistress - 70 57 +13 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points