Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: HOLLYWOOODBETS BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Bardolino
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Holding Thumbs 4 57.0 1 0.00 7.0 75 58 58 -17 2 Bardolino 2 61.0 2 3.00 0.0 82 82 82 +0 3 My Bestie 7 56.5 3 3.30 0.0 73 72 72 -1 4 Gentleman Joe 3 61.5 4 3.60 9.0 83 64 73 -10 5 Greenland 2 58.5 5 6.35 0.0 78 75 75 -3 6 Azzurri 4 59.5 6 9.10 7.0 80 63 70 -10 7 Royal Watch 4 61.0 7 9.50 7.0 82 66 72 -10 99 Radicchio 5 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Kwite A King 4 59.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Diamond Rock 4 59.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Fly Futura 3 59.5 99 0.00 9.0 - 59 59 +0 99 Devil A Saint 4 57.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 58 58 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holding Thumbs | 75 | 119 | 58 | +61 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bardolino Line | 82 | 79 | 82 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | My Bestie | 73 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Gentleman Joe | 83 | 83 | 73 | +10 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Greenland | 78 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Azzurri | 80 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Royal Watch | 82 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Radicchio | - | 100 | 74 | +26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kwite A King | - | 79 | 63 | +16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Diamond Rock | - | 78 | 63 | +15 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fly Futura | - | 74 | 59 | +15 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Devil A Saint | - | 69 | 58 | +11 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points