Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE ()
Line Horse
Oranjemund
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dual Prophecy 3 60.0 1 0.00 10.0 74 61 61 -13 2 The Cane Train 3 56.0 2 0.20 10.0 81 53 71 -10 3 Storm Ahead 4 60.0 3 2.25 7.0 74 70 70 -4 4 Quelimane 2 56.0 4 3.00 0.0 73 75 75 +2 5 Oranjemund 4 60.0 5 3.10 7.0 69 69 69 +0 6 Damascodoro 3 60.0 6 4.75 10.0 55 61 61 +6 7 Manz Knight 6 60.0 7 6.50 0.0 66 81 81 +15 99 Splashlanding 2 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dual Prophecy | 74 | 79 | 61 | +18 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | The Cane Train | 81 | 81 | 71 | +10 | 10.0 | - | |
| 3 | Storm Ahead | 74 | 80 | 70 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Quelimane | 73 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Oranjemund Line | 69 | 63 | 69 | -6 | 7.0 | ||
| 6 | Damascodoro | 55 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Manz Knight | 66 | 60 | 81 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Splashlanding | - | 65 | 73 | -8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points