Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Guardia Regine
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sail The Sky 4 53.0 1 0.00 6.0 61 64 61 +0 2 Spring Tradition 3 58.5 2 1.25 8.5 88 74 78 -10 3 Guardia Regine 3 58.0 3 2.75 8.5 71 71 71 +0 4 Circus Lights 5 57.0 4 8.25 0.0 68 84 84 +16 5 Mescal 2 55.0 5 99.99 0.0 64 80 80 +16 99 Chestnut Bomber 3 60.5 99 0.00 8.5 - 74 74 +0 99 Corrupt 2 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sail The Sky | 61 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Spring Tradition | 88 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Guardia Regine Line | 71 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | Circus Lights | 68 | 64 | 84 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mescal | 64 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chestnut Bomber | - | 90 | 74 | +16 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Corrupt | - | 82 | 83 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points