Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 10 AUGUST CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses with nett rating of 75 and below)
Line Horse
Coming In Hot
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Secret Chord 4 60.0 1 0.00 12.0 74 70 70 -4 2 John Wick 2 60.0 2 0.25 7.0 74 80 80 +6 3 Coming In Hot 3 56.0 3 1.50 10.5 65 65 65 +0 4 Sakhala Is'Cathulo 3 60.0 4 2.50 10.5 74 73 73 -1 5 In The Ether 6 54.0 5 2.75 0.0 71 82 82 +11 6 Gaelic Dancer 3 54.5 6 3.50 10.5 79 62 69 -10 7 Inafix 4 52.0 7 4.00 12.0 57 54 54 -3 8 Life Goes On 7 54.0 8 4.25 0.0 62 82 82 +20 9 Golden Chandelier 2 58.5 9 5.75 7.0 89 77 79 -10 10 Bridge Of Spies 6 52.0 10 13.00 0.0 48 78 78 +30 99 Heirloom 4 58.5 99 0.00 12.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Secret Chord | 74 | 92 | 70 | +22 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | John Wick | 74 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Coming In Hot Line | 65 | 76 | 65 | +11 | 10.5 | ||
| 4 | Sakhala Is'Cathulo | 74 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | In The Ether | 71 | 63 | 82 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gaelic Dancer | 79 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Inafix | 57 | 69 | 54 | +15 | 12.0 | - | |
| 8 | Life Goes On | 62 | 54 | 82 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Golden Chandelier | 89 | 82 | 79 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bridge Of Spies | 48 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Heirloom | - | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 12.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points