Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB PAYS THE FULL DIVIDEND, NO LIMITS FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Autumn Sky
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Savannah Winter 3 60.5 1 0.00 2.5 73 63 73 +0 2 Autumn Sky 4 55.0 2 3.25 1.5 56 56 56 +0 3 Perfect Angel 4 60.5 3 6.50 1.5 67 65 65 -2 4 Buttercup 3 58.0 4 6.60 2.5 68 58 58 -10 5 I Love Mambo 6 53.0 5 6.70 0.0 52 53 53 +1 6 La Duchesse 6 60.0 6 6.80 0.0 66 67 67 +1 7 Badrah (AUS) 4 55.0 7 6.90 1.5 56 54 54 -2 8 Karen Blixen 3 59.0 8 8.15 2.5 73 60 63 -10 9 Neverletugo 7 52.5 9 8.25 0.0 50 52 52 +2 10 Flying Tessa 3 58.5 10 8.75 2.5 69 59 59 -10 11 Masters Queen 3 59.5 11 10.75 2.5 71 61 61 -10 12 Hidden Strings 5 49.5 12 12.50 0.0 49 46 46 -3 13 Curly Top 3 57.5 13 14.75 2.5 67 57 57 -10 14 Sister Freda 3 57.0 14 15.25 2.5 66 56 56 -10 15 Decadent Lady 5 55.5 15 18.50 0.0 57 58 58 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Savannah Winter | 73 | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Autumn Sky Line | 56 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 1.5 | ||
| 3 | Perfect Angel | 67 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Buttercup | 68 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | I Love Mambo | 52 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | La Duchesse | 66 | 59 | 67 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Badrah (AUS) | 56 | 56 | 54 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Karen Blixen | 73 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Neverletugo | 50 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Flying Tessa | 69 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Masters Queen | 71 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Hidden Strings | 49 | 47 | 46 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Curly Top | 67 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 2.5 | - | |
| 14 | Sister Freda | 66 | 66 | 56 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 15 | Decadent Lady | 57 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points