Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: www.tabgold.co.za MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Lucky Dollar
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 El Dante 7 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 79 75 79 +0 2 Birthright 4 58.5 2 0.30 7.0 82 68 72 -10 2 Selukwe 3 57.5 2 0.30 9.0 79 62 69 -10 4 Lucky Dollar 2 57.5 4 1.00 0.0 79 79 79 +0 5 Cyber Time 3 59.5 5 1.90 9.0 83 64 73 -10 6 The Mikado 3 52.0 6 3.20 9.0 86 48 76 -10 7 Nocturnal Flight 3 56.0 7 4.50 9.0 77 54 67 -10 8 Royal Swan Master 3 60.5 8 5.00 9.0 86 63 76 -10 9 Kumemori 5 59.0 9 5.40 0.0 82 78 78 -4 10 Iron Will 4 55.5 10 5.80 7.0 75 57 65 -10 11 Beyondtheboundary 3 56.5 11 6.20 9.0 77 55 67 -10 12 Oh My Word Its Roy 3 52.0 12 6.40 9.0 52 46 46 -6 13 Policy Of Truth 2 58.5 13 6.80 0.0 82 77 77 -5 14 Mount Meru 4 52.0 14 7.80 7.0 50 50 50 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Dante | 79 | 87 | 79 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Birthright | 82 | 95 | 72 | +23 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Selukwe | 79 | 115 | 69 | +46 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lucky Dollar Line | 79 | 85 | 79 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Cyber Time | 83 | 81 | 73 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Mikado | 86 | 84 | 76 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 7 | Nocturnal Flight | 77 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Swan Master | 86 | 83 | 76 | +7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kumemori | 82 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Iron Will | 75 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Beyondtheboundary | 77 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Oh My Word Its Roy | 52 | 50 | 46 | +4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 13 | Policy Of Truth | 82 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Mount Meru | 50 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points