Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 15 AUGUST MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
King's Ransom
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Southern Blaze 3 58.0 1 0.00 8.5 81 68 81 +0 2 Prince Of Kildare 4 52.5 2 0.30 6.0 66 67 67 +1 3 King's Ransom 4 61.5 3 0.75 6.0 84 84 84 +0 4 Kotinos 3 58.5 4 4.00 8.5 77 70 70 -7 5 Golden Pavilion 2 57.0 5 4.25 0.0 75 84 84 +9 6 Moonlight Trader 2 55.0 6 6.25 0.0 87 79 79 -8 7 Pressonregardless 4 60.0 7 8.25 6.0 81 77 77 -4 8 Archimides 3 54.0 8 10.75 8.5 68 60 60 -8 9 Bob 3 57.0 9 12.75 8.5 75 66 66 -9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Blaze | 81 | 89 | 81 | +8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Prince Of Kildare | 66 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | King's Ransom Line | 84 | 89 | 84 | +5 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Kotinos | 77 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Golden Pavilion | 75 | 95 | 84 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Moonlight Trader | 87 | 101 | 79 | +22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pressonregardless | 81 | 109 | 77 | +32 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Archimides | 68 | 70 | 60 | +10 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Bob | 75 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points