Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACING240 MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
The Second Wave
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hyde Park 4 60.5 1 0.00 1.5 97 89 97 +0 2 Lion's Head 4 56.0 2 0.20 1.5 88 80 80 -8 3 The Second Wave 5 55.5 3 0.70 0.0 87 87 87 +0 4 Arctic Drift 5 60.5 4 1.45 0.0 97 95 95 -2 5 Dragonfly 3 53.5 5 1.50 2.5 89 76 79 -10 6 Adios Amigos 4 55.0 6 3.00 1.5 86 80 80 -6 7 Paper Trail 4 52.5 7 3.30 1.5 81 74 74 -7 8 Magical Midlands 4 57.0 8 4.55 1.5 90 82 82 -8 9 Bush Tracker 6 58.5 9 6.80 0.0 99 88 89 -10 10 Izapha 4 54.0 10 8.80 1.5 84 76 76 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hyde Park | 97 | 95 | 97 | -2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lion's Head | 88 | 84 | 80 | +4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | The Second Wave Line | 87 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Arctic Drift | 97 | 97 | 95 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dragonfly | 89 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Adios Amigos | 86 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Paper Trail | 81 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Magical Midlands | 90 | 79 | 82 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Bush Tracker | 99 | 100 | 89 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Izapha | 84 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points