Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GALLOP TV YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Buster Keaton
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fire Tonic 3 62.0 1 0.00 10.5 72 72 72 +0 2 Happy Wanderer 5 52.5 2 0.40 0.0 61 74 74 +13 3 Buster Keaton 3 56.0 3 0.80 10.5 60 60 60 +0 4 Cotton Ron 6 57.0 4 1.85 0.0 62 83 83 +21 5 El Draque 5 62.0 5 3.05 0.0 72 93 93 +21 6 Brave Voyager 3 55.5 6 3.80 10.5 62 59 59 -3 7 Mount Meru 4 52.0 7 5.10 12.0 50 49 49 -1 99 Mac Hardy 4 55.5 99 0.00 12.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Tonic | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 10.5 | - | |
| 2 | Happy Wanderer | 61 | 55 | 74 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Buster Keaton Line | 60 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 10.5 | ||
| 4 | Cotton Ron | 62 | 59 | 83 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | El Draque | 72 | 57 | 93 | -36 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Brave Voyager | 62 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mount Meru | 50 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 12.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mac Hardy | - | 64 | 56 | +8 | 12.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points