Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
On Cue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kinshin Sha 4 58.5 1 0.00 12.0 77 74 77 +0 2 Secret Chord 4 58.0 2 2.75 12.0 76 73 73 -3 3 On Cue 3 60.5 3 3.75 10.5 81 81 81 +0 4 Dontshootthebarman 5 60.5 4 4.00 0.0 81 102 102 +21 5 Nkandla Gold 4 60.5 5 4.50 12.0 86 78 78 -8 6 Var Park 5 58.5 6 6.00 0.0 82 98 98 +16 7 Fennec Fox 5 55.0 7 7.75 0.0 70 91 91 +21 8 Axel Collins 5 53.5 8 8.50 0.0 67 88 88 +21 9 Phala Millions 4 57.5 9 12.50 12.0 75 72 72 -3 10 What A Tiger 5 60.0 10 13.25 0.0 80 101 101 +21 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kinshin Sha | 77 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Secret Chord | 76 | 92 | 73 | +19 | 12.0 | - | |
| 3 | On Cue Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 10.5 | ||
| 4 | Dontshootthebarman | 81 | 93 | 102 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nkandla Gold | 86 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 12.0 | - | |
| 6 | Var Park | 82 | 87 | 98 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fennec Fox | 70 | 64 | 91 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Axel Collins | 67 | 55 | 88 | -33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Phala Millions | 75 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 12.0 | - | |
| 10 | What A Tiger | 80 | 71 | 101 | -30 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points