Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING WEDNESDAY 21 AUGUST FM 74 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
The Navy Lark
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Just The Two Of Us 4 59.0 1 0.00 12.0 72 77 72 +0 2 Midnight Fusion 4 60.0 2 3.00 12.0 74 79 79 +5 3 The Navy Lark 4 57.0 3 3.60 12.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Inventrix 2 58.5 4 3.75 7.0 71 86 86 +15 5 Red Carpet Girl 3 52.0 5 4.60 10.5 58 66 66 +8 6 Waitforgreenlight 2 58.5 6 5.00 7.0 71 86 86 +15 7 Flying Broomstick 3 55.0 7 5.50 10.5 64 72 72 +8 8 Gaelic Dancer 3 55.5 8 7.75 10.5 79 73 73 -6 9 Smelting 7 48.0 9 8.25 0.0 50 79 79 +29 10 Heirloom 4 60.0 10 8.30 12.0 74 79 79 +5 11 In The Ether 6 55.5 11 8.35 0.0 70 94 94 +24 12 Wilkies 2 1.5 12 10.00 7.0 59 -28 49 -10 13 Phantom Express 4 59.5 13 10.50 12.0 73 78 78 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Just The Two Of Us | 72 | 90 | 72 | +18 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Midnight Fusion | 74 | 67 | 79 | -12 | 12.0 | - | |
| 3 | The Navy Lark Line | 73 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 12.0 | ||
| 4 | Inventrix | 71 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Carpet Girl | 58 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Waitforgreenlight | 71 | 67 | 86 | -19 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flying Broomstick | 64 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Gaelic Dancer | 79 | 64 | 73 | -9 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Smelting | 50 | 52 | 79 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Heirloom | 74 | 67 | 79 | -12 | 12.0 | - | |
| 11 | In The Ether | 70 | 63 | 94 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Wilkies | 59 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | Phantom Express | 73 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 12.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points