Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
King Bavarian
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mike's Mazarin 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 87 60 87 +0 2 King Bavarian 5 53.0 2 0.40 0.0 54 54 54 +0 3 Lucretius 6 58.0 3 0.65 0.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Global Movement 6 59.5 4 0.70 0.0 67 67 67 +0 5 Eventidor 6 61.5 5 2.00 0.0 71 69 69 -2 6 Manic Monday 3 57.5 6 2.30 10.0 63 40 53 -10 7 Querari's Dream 2 60.5 7 2.35 0.0 69 66 66 -3 8 Dontstopmenow 3 60.5 8 11.05 10.0 69 42 59 -10 9 National Dream 6 60.0 9 18.95 0.0 71 61 61 -10 10 Basie Raakvat 4 60.5 10 25.55 7.0 71 48 61 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike's Mazarin | 87 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | King Bavarian Line | 54 | 67 | 54 | +13 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Lucretius | 64 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Global Movement | 67 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Eventidor | 71 | 89 | 69 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Manic Monday | 63 | 61 | 53 | +8 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Querari's Dream | 69 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dontstopmenow | 69 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 10.0 | - | |
| 9 | National Dream | 71 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Basie Raakvat | 71 | 63 | 61 | +2 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points