Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 98 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Natyam
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Baratheon            3    60.0    1    0.00     10.0  98    75           98    +0
2    Kyomai               4    52.0    2    1.20     7.0   84    69           74    -10
3    Natyam               5    58.5    3    1.70     0.0   95    95           95    +0
4    Indlamu              4    55.5    4    1.90     7.0   89    75           79    -10
5    Sundance Kid         5    58.5    5    2.60     0.0   98    94           94    -4
6    Last One Standing    3    55.5    6    2.90     10.0  90    68           80    -10
7    Queue Wing           7    58.0    7    3.30     0.0   94    92           92    -2
8    Bristol Hercules     2    54.0    8    3.70     0.0   88    84           84    -4
9    Royal Guide          4    55.0    9    5.20     7.0   88    71           78    -10
10   Littlemarysunshine   2    58.5    10   7.30     0.0   95    92           92    -3
11   Etiquette            3    52.0    11   10.00    10.0  82    59           72    -10
99   Trois Trois Quatre   5    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     89           89    +0
99   Grinkov              2    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     93           93    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Baratheon 98 106 98 +8 10.0 -
2 Kyomai 84 70 74 -4 7.0 -
3 Natyam Line 95 102 95 +7 0.0
4 Indlamu 89 86 79 +7 7.0 -
5 Sundance Kid 98 96 94 +2 0.0 -
6 Last One Standing 90 93 80 +13 10.0 -
7 Queue Wing 94 81 92 -11 0.0 -
8 Bristol Hercules 88 87 84 +3 0.0 -
9 Royal Guide 88 87 78 +9 7.0 -
10 Littlemarysunshine 95 95 92 +3 0.0 -
11 Etiquette 82 83 72 +11 10.0 -
99 Trois Trois Quatre - 87 89 -2 0.0 -
99 Grinkov - 87 93 -6 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points