Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 80 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Vision To Achieve
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Tara Star            4    61.0    1    0.00     12.0  82    82           82    +0
2    Vision To Achieve    4    59.5    2    1.35     12.0  79    79           79    +0
3    Miss Ladyaterix      3    57.5    3    1.60     10.5  89    78           79    -10
4    Neerah               2    56.5    4    1.85     7.0   73    83           83    +10
5    Icy Lancaster        3    55.0    5    1.90     10.5  84    73           74    -10
6    Grey Fantacy         3    56.0    6    2.40     10.5  86    75           76    -10
7    War Empress          5    60.5    7    3.00     0.0   81    105          105   +24
8    Jane's Vision        2    55.0    8    3.30     7.0   73    80           80    +7
9    Juniper Green        4    61.0    9    5.60     12.0  82    82           82    +0
10   Cape Capri           2    48.5    10   6.30     7.0   79    67           69    -10
11   Dhow Solo            3    53.5    11   8.10     10.5  67    70           70    +3
12   Ethereal View        3    54.0    12   8.35     10.5  82    71           72    -10
13   Witchwood            2    55.0    13   9.95     7.0   78    80           80    +2
99   Rugger Lover         2    58.0    99   0.00     7.0   76    86           76    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Tara Star 82 96 82 +14 12.0 -
2 Vision To Achieve Line 79 87 79 +8 12.0
3 Miss Ladyaterix 89 92 79 +13 10.5 -
4 Neerah 73 77 83 -6 7.0 -
5 Icy Lancaster 84 76 74 +2 10.5 -
6 Grey Fantacy 86 83 76 +7 10.5 -
7 War Empress 81 92 105 -13 0.0 -
8 Jane's Vision 73 65 80 -15 7.0 -
9 Juniper Green 82 87 82 +5 12.0 -
10 Cape Capri 79 63 69 -6 7.0 -
11 Dhow Solo 67 62 70 -8 10.5 -
12 Ethereal View 82 68 72 -4 10.5 -
13 Witchwood 78 78 80 -2 7.0 -
99 Rugger Lover 76 79 76 +3 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points