Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Vintage Crystal
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Vintage Crystal 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 61 61 61 +0 2 Elusive Mata 4 60.0 2 0.10 7.0 61 47 51 -10 3 Beijing Boulevard 3 60.0 3 2.35 9.0 50 45 45 -5 4 Elegant Appeal 2 57.0 4 8.60 0.0 60 55 55 -5 5 Alta Lekker 3 60.0 5 10.10 9.0 - 43 43 +43 6 Forest Fantasy 3 60.0 6 25.60 9.0 39 43 43 +4 99 Mad World 3 60.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 43 43 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vintage Crystal Line | 61 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 2 | Elusive Mata | 61 | 58 | 51 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Beijing Boulevard | 50 | 54 | 45 | +9 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Elegant Appeal | 60 | 65 | 55 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Alta Lekker | - | 41 | 43 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | Forest Fantasy | 39 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mad World | - | 53 | 43 | +10 | 9.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points