Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 30 AUGUST MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
War Launch
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Arturo 2 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 66 66 66 +0 2 War Launch 2 53.5 2 2.25 7.0 53 53 53 +0 3 Mr Bodacious 2 60.5 3 4.00 7.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Winning Captain 3 58.5 4 4.10 10.5 66 56 56 -10 5 Cruzador 6 59.0 5 4.60 0.0 64 78 78 +14 6 Swiss Walt 4 62.0 6 5.35 12.0 70 60 60 -10 7 Jackson Misissippi 6 57.0 7 5.40 0.0 60 74 74 +14 8 Irontail 4 59.5 8 7.65 12.0 65 55 55 -10 99 Absolu Noir 8 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arturo | 66 | 76 | 66 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | War Launch Line | 53 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Mr Bodacious | 67 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Winning Captain | 66 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 5 | Cruzador | 64 | 61 | 78 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Swiss Walt | 70 | 74 | 60 | +14 | 12.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jackson Misissippi | 60 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Irontail | 65 | 64 | 55 | +9 | 12.0 | - | |
| 99 | Absolu Noir | - | 50 | 64 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points