Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Secret Chord
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Navy Lark 4 54.0 1 0.00 12.0 73 68 73 +0 2 Godspeed 2 57.5 2 0.50 7.0 75 85 85 +10 3 Coppola 4 58.5 3 1.50 12.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Secret Chord 4 59.0 4 2.40 12.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Warm Winter Nite 2 56.5 5 2.50 7.0 73 83 83 +10 6 Vegas Hi Rise 6 59.0 6 3.90 0.0 78 102 102 +24 7 Rattle Bag 6 58.0 7 6.00 0.0 76 100 100 +24 8 Nkandla Gold 4 62.5 8 7.00 12.0 85 85 85 +0 9 Sea Shanty 4 59.5 9 8.75 12.0 79 79 79 +0 10 Kashkaval 3 57.0 10 9.75 10.5 74 77 77 +3 11 Oriental Bouquet 4 56.5 11 11.00 12.0 73 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Navy Lark | 73 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Godspeed | 75 | 60 | 85 | -25 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Coppola | 77 | 83 | 77 | +6 | 12.0 | - | |
| 4 | Secret Chord Line | 78 | 92 | 78 | +14 | 12.0 | ||
| 5 | Warm Winter Nite | 73 | 92 | 83 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Vegas Hi Rise | 78 | 71 | 102 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Rattle Bag | 76 | 71 | 100 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Nkandla Gold | 85 | 63 | 85 | -22 | 12.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sea Shanty | 79 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 12.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kashkaval | 74 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Oriental Bouquet | 73 | 56 | 73 | -17 | 12.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points