Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 3 SEPTEMBER MR 63 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Twice As Wild
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Inafix 4 56.0 1 0.00 12.0 55 31 55 +0 2 Samoa 10 57.5 2 0.25 0.0 58 58 58 +0 3 Twice As Wild 6 56.5 3 1.25 0.0 56 56 56 +0 4 Dancing Dora 6 58.5 4 1.50 0.0 60 60 60 +0 5 Jet Cat 9 58.5 5 2.00 0.0 60 60 60 +0 6 Dark Tide 5 55.0 6 3.00 0.0 53 53 53 +0 7 Red Carpet Girl 3 57.0 7 3.90 10.5 57 36 47 -10 8 Tibetan Voyage 3 55.5 8 3.95 10.5 54 33 44 -10 9 Together Again 5 57.0 9 4.00 0.0 62 57 57 -5 10 Prized Platinum 3 60.0 10 4.35 10.5 63 42 53 -10 11 Ashanti Sword 2 57.5 11 4.45 7.0 58 44 48 -10 12 Wilkies 2 53.5 12 4.50 7.0 50 36 40 -10 13 Thymetoshine 5 55.5 13 5.75 0.0 54 54 54 +0 14 Oh My Gucci Girl 3 58.5 14 9.00 10.5 74 39 64 -10 15 Miraculous Man 3 49.5 15 17.25 10.5 50 21 40 -10 99 Written In Stone 9 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inafix | 55 | 69 | 55 | +14 | 12.0 | - | |
| 2 | Samoa | 58 | 64 | 58 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Twice As Wild Line | 56 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Dancing Dora | 60 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jet Cat | 60 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dark Tide | 53 | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Red Carpet Girl | 57 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Tibetan Voyage | 54 | 51 | 44 | +7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Together Again | 62 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Prized Platinum | 63 | 72 | 53 | +19 | 10.5 | - | |
| 11 | Ashanti Sword | 58 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Wilkies | 50 | 50 | 40 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | Thymetoshine | 54 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Oh My Gucci Girl | 74 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 10.5 | - | |
| 15 | Miraculous Man | 50 | 45 | 40 | +5 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Written In Stone | - | 67 | 59 | +8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points