Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 2 SEPTEMBER MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Guerra
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Dancingtothelight    3    59.0    1    0.00     8.5   72    66           72    +0
2    Guerra               4    60.0    2    2.50     6.0   75    75           75    +0
3    Anatolian Silver     3    60.5    3    3.75     8.5   76    70           70    -6
4    Explosive Speed      2    59.0    4    5.00     0.0   73    83           83    +10
5    Single File          2    61.5    5    6.50     0.0   78    88           88    +10
6    El Romiachi          8    62.0    6    6.55     0.0   78    89           89    +11
7    Meetatthewindsor     5    58.5    7    7.05     0.0   71    82           82    +11
8    Global Banker        4    52.5    8    7.30     6.0   60    58           58    -2
9    American Dream       3    59.0    9    8.55     8.5   72    66           66    -6
10   Captains Walk        3    49.5    10   8.65     8.5   55    47           47    -8
11   Time For Glory       2    61.0    11   8.70     0.0   79    87           87    +8
12   Path Of Choice       5    59.0    12   10.95    0.0   72    83           83    +11
12   Arividicio           5    55.5    12   10.95    0.0   65    76           76    +11
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Dancingtothelight 72 73 72 +1 8.5 -
2 Guerra Line 75 86 75 +11 6.0
3 Anatolian Silver 76 78 70 +8 8.5 -
4 Explosive Speed 73 68 83 -15 0.0 -
5 Single File 78 74 88 -14 0.0 -
6 El Romiachi 78 77 89 -12 0.0 -
7 Meetatthewindsor 71 76 82 -6 0.0 -
8 Global Banker 60 55 58 -3 6.0 -
9 American Dream 72 81 66 +15 8.5 -
10 Captains Walk 55 54 47 +7 8.5 -
11 Time For Glory 79 77 87 -10 0.0 -
12 Path Of Choice 72 68 83 -15 0.0 -
12 Arividicio 65 50 76 -26 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points