Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: HOLLYWOODBETS DURBANVILLE WELCOMES YOU WORK RIDERS' MAIDEN PLATE (For all raced maidens)
Line Horse
Bagatelle Flash
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dawn Till Dusk 2 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 83 86 86 +3 2 Fencing Captain 2 60.0 2 0.30 7.0 - 86 86 +86 3 Bagatelle Flash 2 60.0 3 1.80 7.0 86 86 86 +0 4 King Viserys 4 62.0 4 3.55 12.0 64 80 80 +16 5 Elsinore 3 60.0 5 4.80 10.5 - 79 79 +79 6 Master Incolor 3 60.5 6 6.55 10.5 - 80 80 +80 7 Townsman 3 61.0 7 8.80 10.5 53 81 81 +28 8 Cotonou 3 59.5 8 9.30 10.5 58 78 78 +20 9 Spare 2 60.0 9 11.80 7.0 70 86 86 +16 10 The Postman 2 60.0 10 11.90 7.0 - 86 86 +86 11 Papillon Blu 3 57.5 11 13.90 10.5 - 74 74 +74 99 Future Gem 2 62.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 90 90 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawn Till Dusk | 83 | 94 | 86 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fencing Captain | - | 76 | 86 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bagatelle Flash Line | 86 | 84 | 86 | -2 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | King Viserys | 64 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 12.0 | - | |
| 5 | Elsinore | - | 80 | 79 | +1 | 10.5 | - | |
| 6 | Master Incolor | - | 73 | 80 | -7 | 10.5 | - | |
| 7 | Townsman | 53 | 61 | 81 | -20 | 10.5 | - | |
| 8 | Cotonou | 58 | 56 | 78 | -22 | 10.5 | - | |
| 9 | Spare | 70 | 62 | 86 | -24 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | The Postman | - | 51 | 86 | -35 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Papillon Blu | - | 84 | 74 | +10 | 10.5 | - | |
| 99 | Future Gem | - | 55 | 90 | -35 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points