Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY CONDITIONAL MAIDEN (F & M) (Mdn F&M 3 runs or more nett 66 & below. R5 000 Win bonus ROA)
Line Horse
Tartan Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Best Intentions 2 60.0 1 0.00 6.5 60 72 66 +6 2 Royal Venus 2 57.0 2 4.25 6.5 49 66 66 +17 3 Tartan Queen 2 60.0 3 4.30 6.5 72 72 72 +0 4 Double Trade 2 59.0 4 4.40 6.5 70 70 70 +0 5 Tune Again 6 59.0 5 4.65 0.0 55 83 83 +28 6 Sierra Sky 3 57.0 6 6.40 9.5 50 60 60 +10 7 Natural Wonder 3 54.5 7 8.90 9.5 58 55 55 -3 99 Ponte Vecchio 2 60.0 99 0.00 6.5 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Best Intentions | 60 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Royal Venus | 49 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 6.5 | - | |
| 3 | Tartan Queen Line | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 6.5 | ||
| 4 | Double Trade | 70 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 5 | Tune Again | 55 | 50 | 83 | -33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sierra Sky | 50 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | Natural Wonder | 58 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Ponte Vecchio | - | 56 | 72 | -16 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points