Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 CONDITIONAL MAIDEN (Mdns 3 runs or more nett 66 & below. R5 000 Win bonus ROA)
Line Horse
Elusive Hunter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bryden Bay 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 57 70 63 +6 2 Son Of Erupt 2 59.0 2 3.25 0.0 72 72 72 +0 3 Heart Of Thieves 4 56.5 3 4.50 5.0 53 55 55 +2 4 Elusive Hunter 4 55.0 4 6.75 5.0 52 52 52 +0 5 Smart View 4 57.0 5 8.00 5.0 50 56 56 +6 6 Dirty Mimosa 2 54.0 6 16.25 0.0 64 60 60 -4 7 Chilli Chacha 2 60.0 7 18.00 0.0 60 72 72 +12 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryden Bay | 57 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Son Of Erupt | 72 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Heart Of Thieves | 53 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Elusive Hunter Line | 52 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Smart View | 50 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Dirty Mimosa | 64 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Chilli Chacha | 60 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points