Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CAPE TURF CLUB OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
English Mistress
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lady Springfield 3 56.5 1 0.00 9.5 - 54 6 +6 2 Lavender Bay 4 58.0 2 0.40 6.0 68 69 69 +1 3 English Mistress 4 61.0 3 1.15 6.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Darling Girl 2 52.5 4 1.90 0.0 72 68 68 -4 5 Lucky Thirteen 4 53.5 5 2.40 6.0 57 57 57 +0 6 Wedding Bells 2 54.0 6 5.65 0.0 60 68 68 +8 7 Dymondia 2 53.5 7 6.90 0.0 55 67 67 +12 8 Welsh Starlet 3 52.5 8 7.00 9.5 67 46 57 -10 9 French Toffee 3 60.0 9 10.50 9.5 - 61 61 +61 99 Style Icon 4 59.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lady Springfield | - | 81 | 6 | +75 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lavender Bay | 68 | 95 | 69 | +26 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | English Mistress Line | 74 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Darling Girl | 72 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lucky Thirteen | 57 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Wedding Bells | 60 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Dymondia | 55 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Welsh Starlet | 67 | 63 | 57 | +6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | French Toffee | - | - | 61 | -61 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Style Icon | - | 54 | 67 | -13 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points