Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 5 SEPTEMBER FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Crimson Cloud
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Raining Rubies 5 55.0 1 0.00 0.0 66 79 66 +0 2 Crimson Cloud 2 57.5 2 2.00 6.5 71 71 71 +0 3 Mix The Magic 3 52.0 3 2.25 9.5 55 54 54 -1 4 Kylie's Angel 3 57.0 4 3.35 9.5 70 64 64 -6 5 Princess Lola 2 59.0 5 4.50 6.5 74 74 74 +0 6 Glawari 2 60.0 6 5.60 6.5 76 76 76 +0 7 Micke's Bomb 4 58.0 7 5.85 11.0 72 63 63 -9 8 Flying Broomstick 3 52.0 8 6.35 9.5 60 54 54 -6 9 Shampimpi 4 59.5 9 8.60 11.0 75 66 66 -9 10 Inventrix 2 57.0 10 22.60 6.5 70 70 70 +0 99 Time To The Moon 3 53.5 99 0.00 9.5 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raining Rubies | 66 | 75 | 66 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Crimson Cloud Line | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 6.5 | ||
| 3 | Mix The Magic | 55 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 4 | Kylie's Angel | 70 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 5 | Princess Lola | 74 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Glawari | 76 | 65 | 76 | -11 | 6.5 | - | |
| 7 | Micke's Bomb | 72 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 11.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flying Broomstick | 60 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Shampimpi | 75 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 11.0 | - | |
| 10 | Inventrix | 70 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 6.5 | - | |
| 99 | Time To The Moon | - | 63 | 57 | +6 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points