Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN PLATE (For Maidens R10 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)

Line Horse
Duke Of Orange
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Il Lungo             3    60.0    1    0.00     2.5   -     54           6     +6
2    Duke Of Orange       3    60.0    2    0.75     2.5   58    58           58    +0
3    Vanderbilt           3    60.0    3    2.00     2.5   65    57           57    -8
4    Dawn Raider          4    60.0    4    2.10     1.5   61    59           59    -2
5    Abayyaan             3    60.0    5    5.60     2.5   69    54           59    -10
6    Global Mark          3    58.5    6    5.85     2.5   64    51           54    -10
7    Jack's Jamboree      3    60.0    7    6.60     2.5   68    54           58    -10
8    Bold Premier         3    60.0    8    7.10     2.5   62    54           54    -8
9    Into The Storm       3    60.0    9    7.60     2.5   -     54           54    +54
10   Siever's Point       3    57.0    10   8.35     2.5   59    48           49    -10
11   Bravestarr           5    60.0    11   8.45     0.0   44    59           59    +15
12   King Of Luv          4    60.0    12   8.95     1.5   -     56           56    +56
13   Question The Stars   3    60.0    13   9.70     2.5   58    54           54    -4
14   March Of The Lion    4    60.0    14   15.95    1.5   -     56           56    +56
99   Jackbequick          4    60.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     56           56    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Il Lungo - 55 6 +49 2.5 -
2 Duke Of Orange Line 58 53 58 -5 2.5
3 Vanderbilt 65 103 57 +46 2.5 -
4 Dawn Raider 61 53 59 -6 1.5 -
5 Abayyaan 69 94 59 +35 2.5 -
6 Global Mark 64 56 54 +2 2.5 -
7 Jack's Jamboree 68 55 58 -3 2.5 -
8 Bold Premier 62 62 54 +8 2.5 -
9 Into The Storm - 52 54 -2 2.5 -
10 Siever's Point 59 49 49 ✓ Match 2.5 -
11 Bravestarr 44 40 59 -19 0.0 -
12 King Of Luv - 48 56 -8 1.5 -
13 Question The Stars 58 51 54 -3 2.5 -
14 March Of The Lion - 20 56 -36 1.5 -
99 Jackbequick - 62 56 +6 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points