Official NHA Assessment

Race 6: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Irish Luck
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Knight Warrior       5    58.5    1    0.00     0.0   67    67           67    +0
1    Few Dollars More     2    61.0    1    0.00     0.0   73    72           73    +0
3    Irish Luck           2    61.0    3    3.70     0.0   73    73           73    +0
4    Porfirio             6    57.5    4    4.60     0.0   65    65           65    +0
5    El Draque            5    60.5    5    4.80     0.0   71    71           71    +0
6    Mister Nibbles       3    60.0    6    4.95     8.0   86    54           76    -10
7    Lake Como            3    56.0    7    5.20     8.0   65    46           55    -10
8    One Irish Rover      5    57.0    8    6.00     0.0   64    64           64    +0
9    Move To Prove        2    57.0    9    7.80     0.0   80    64           70    -10
99   Bally Magic          6    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Knight Warrior 67 74 67 +7 0.0 -
1 Few Dollars More 73 84 73 +11 0.0 -
3 Irish Luck Line 73 72 73 -1 0.0
4 Porfirio 65 88 65 +23 0.0 -
5 El Draque 71 57 71 -14 0.0 -
6 Mister Nibbles 86 81 76 +5 8.0 -
7 Lake Como 65 61 55 +6 8.0 -
8 One Irish Rover 64 65 64 +1 0.0 -
9 Move To Prove 80 63 70 -7 0.0 -
99 Bally Magic - 60 64 -4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points