Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK PINNACLE STAKES (For Horses rated Nett 116 and below)
Line Horse
Shipholia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lunarcam 3 59.0 1 0.00 9.5 102 86 86 -16 2 Shipholia 5 57.5 2 0.20 0.0 102 102 102 +0 3 Captain Bombshell 2 60.5 3 0.70 6.5 107 95 97 -10 4 Pray For Rain 4 62.0 4 0.85 11.0 112 89 102 -10 5 Cold Shine 2 52.0 5 1.45 6.5 97 78 87 -10 6 Donquerari 5 59.0 6 1.95 0.0 103 105 105 +2 7 Luhamba Phambili 3 52.0 7 2.00 9.5 98 72 88 -10 8 Twenty One May 3 52.0 8 2.50 9.5 92 72 82 -10 9 Captain's Christy 4 56.5 9 5.30 11.0 97 78 87 -10 99 Kaygee's Delight 4 48.0 99 0.00 11.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lunarcam | 102 | 106 | 86 | +20 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Shipholia Line | 102 | 104 | 102 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Captain Bombshell | 107 | 106 | 97 | +9 | 6.5 | - | |
| 4 | Pray For Rain | 112 | 106 | 102 | +4 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cold Shine | 97 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Donquerari | 103 | 86 | 105 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Luhamba Phambili | 98 | 112 | 88 | +24 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Twenty One May | 92 | 91 | 82 | +9 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Captain's Christy | 97 | 95 | 87 | +8 | 11.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kaygee's Delight | - | 89 | 61 | +28 | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points