Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
King Bavarian
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fine Admiral         3    59.0    1    0.00     8.5   65    46           65    +0
2    Wave Warrior         3    56.0    2    0.05     8.5   62    40           52    -10
3    King Bavarian        5    53.5    3    2.75     0.0   54    54           54    +0
4    Future Of Energy     5    56.0    4    3.65     0.0   59    58           58    -1
5    Forest Jump          8    58.5    5    6.25     0.0   64    62           62    -2
6    Notable              2    61.0    6    6.65     0.0   86    67           76    -10
7    Dont Judge           2    62.0    7    12.05    0.0   88    69           78    -10
99   Duke Of Africa       5    59.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fine Admiral 65 73 65 +8 8.5 -
2 Wave Warrior 62 68 52 +16 8.5 -
3 King Bavarian Line 54 67 54 +13 0.0
4 Future Of Energy 59 55 58 -3 0.0 -
5 Forest Jump 64 62 62 ✓ Match 0.0 -
6 Notable 86 84 76 +8 0.0 -
7 Dont Judge 88 74 78 -4 0.0 -
99 Duke Of Africa - 76 64 +12 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points