Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Guarding The Wall
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Holocene 4 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 69 67 69 +0 2 Travel Master 4 62.0 2 0.25 5.0 72 71 71 -1 3 Guarding The Wall 4 58.5 3 3.50 5.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Great Times 3 52.5 4 5.25 8.0 56 46 46 -10 5 Winning Captain 3 59.0 5 6.50 8.0 66 59 59 -7 5 James Fitzjames 2 58.0 5 6.50 0.0 80 73 73 -7 7 King's Sailor 3 56.5 7 7.00 8.0 77 54 67 -10 8 Duke Of Orange 3 54.5 8 7.10 8.0 56 50 50 -6 9 Captains Walk 3 53.5 9 8.60 8.0 55 48 48 -7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holocene | 69 | 76 | 69 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Travel Master | 72 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Guarding The Wall Line | 65 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Great Times | 56 | 54 | 46 | +8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Winning Captain | 66 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | James Fitzjames | 80 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | King's Sailor | 77 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Duke Of Orange | 56 | 53 | 50 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Captains Walk | 55 | 54 | 48 | +6 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points