Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: CAPE TURF CLUB CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 78 & below)
Line Horse
Wylie Jack
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Shifting Path 2 61.5 1 0.00 6.5 77 64 64 -13 2 Bluff On Bluff 3 58.5 2 0.05 9.5 71 52 61 -10 3 Wylie Jack 6 54.5 3 0.55 0.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Barney Mcgrew 4 60.0 4 1.05 11.0 75 52 65 -10 5 Swift Action 3 61.5 5 2.30 9.5 77 58 67 -10 6 Gravity 4 54.5 6 2.80 11.0 62 41 52 -10 7 Casino Ace 5 54.0 7 3.00 0.0 62 62 62 +0 8 William West 2 57.0 8 3.50 6.5 67 55 57 -10 9 Xplicit Content 4 51.0 9 3.70 11.0 56 34 46 -10 10 Tambourine Man 5 55.5 10 4.45 0.0 65 65 65 +0 99 Silver Screen 2 56.0 99 0.00 6.5 - 53 53 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shifting Path | 77 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 6.5 | - | |
| 2 | Bluff On Bluff | 71 | 80 | 61 | +19 | 9.5 | - | |
| 3 | Wylie Jack Line | 63 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Barney Mcgrew | 75 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Swift Action | 77 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Gravity | 62 | 63 | 52 | +11 | 11.0 | - | |
| 7 | Casino Ace | 62 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | William West | 67 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Xplicit Content | 56 | 58 | 46 | +12 | 11.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tambourine Man | 65 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silver Screen | - | 70 | 53 | +17 | 6.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points