Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Das Gute
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Radicchio 5 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 79 85 85 +6 2 Das Gute 4 58.0 2 0.40 5.0 77 77 77 +0 3 Captain West 3 58.0 3 6.65 8.0 92 66 82 -10 4 We Have Touchdown 3 60.0 4 8.15 8.0 96 70 86 -10 5 World Of Pleasure 3 58.0 5 8.20 8.0 92 66 82 -10 6 Fort Red 4 57.0 6 8.25 5.0 74 70 70 -4 7 Lunch Money 3 60.0 7 8.30 8.0 80 70 70 -10 8 Michael Faraday 2 59.5 8 8.60 0.0 79 85 85 +6 8 Definitely Yes 2 56.5 8 8.60 0.0 89 79 79 -10 10 Plus Four 2 59.0 10 8.70 0.0 79 84 84 +5 11 Devil A Saint 4 57.0 11 10.45 5.0 75 70 70 -5 12 Pieter Both 3 56.5 12 13.20 8.0 74 63 64 -10 13 Moonacres 2 58.0 13 13.60 0.0 77 82 82 +5 14 Stated 2 59.0 14 20.85 0.0 94 84 84 -10 99 Prince Of Tibet 4 56.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Radicchio | 79 | 100 | 85 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Das Gute Line | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Captain West | 92 | 102 | 82 | +20 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | We Have Touchdown | 96 | 89 | 86 | +3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | World Of Pleasure | 92 | 89 | 82 | +7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fort Red | 74 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lunch Money | 80 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Michael Faraday | 79 | 68 | 85 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Definitely Yes | 89 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Plus Four | 79 | 87 | 84 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Devil A Saint | 75 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Pieter Both | 74 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 13 | Moonacres | 77 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Stated | 94 | 91 | 84 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Prince Of Tibet | - | 63 | 68 | -5 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points