Official NHA Assessment

Race 2: CRIME RISK ADVISORY MAIDEN PLATE (3 year-old Fillies) (For Maiden 3yof. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

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Line Horse
Intro
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Theatre Of Life      2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   -     86           6     +6
2    Future Date          2    60.0    2    0.75     0.0   75    90           90    +15
3    Fireburst            3    60.0    3    7.00     8.5   -     69           69    +69
4    Intro                3    60.0    4    11.00    8.5   69    69           69    +0
5    Ancient Wisdom       3    60.0    5    13.25    8.5   -     69           69    +69
6    Lunar Rainbow        3    60.0    6    15.00    8.5   -     69           69    +69
7    Tipperary            3    60.0    7    15.25    8.5   78    69           69    -9
8    Shadow Of The Moon   3    60.0    8    30.75    8.5   -     69           69    +69
9    Falcon Hill          2    60.0    9    99.99    0.0   67    86           86    +19
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Theatre Of Life - 91 6 +85 0.0 -
2 Future Date 75 93 90 +3 0.0 -
3 Fireburst - 80 69 +11 8.5 -
4 Intro Line 69 66 69 -3 8.5
5 Ancient Wisdom - 82 69 +13 8.5 -
6 Lunar Rainbow - 57 69 -12 8.5 -
7 Tipperary 78 64 69 -5 8.5 -
8 Shadow Of The Moon - 57 69 -12 8.5 -
9 Falcon Hill 67 67 86 -19 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points