Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 64 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Lou Lou The Legend
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hippocrates 3 61.0 1 0.00 9.5 66 66 66 +0 2 Stevie Gee 5 58.5 2 1.30 0.0 61 80 80 +19 3 Lou Lou The Legend 3 55.0 3 1.90 9.5 54 54 54 +0 4 Mac Hardy 4 57.0 4 4.00 11.0 58 55 55 -3 5 Drive By 6 55.5 5 4.20 0.0 63 74 74 +11 6 Arilena 6 61.5 6 4.90 0.0 67 86 86 +19 7 Victor Rail 5 57.0 7 5.00 0.0 58 77 77 +19 8 Teerex 4 60.5 8 5.80 11.0 68 62 62 -6 9 Pretty Analia 5 58.5 9 6.05 0.0 61 80 80 +19 10 Brave Voyager 3 58.5 10 9.95 9.5 61 61 61 +0 99 Cannatonic 3 49.5 99 0.00 9.5 - 43 43 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hippocrates | 66 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Stevie Gee | 61 | 65 | 80 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lou Lou The Legend Line | 54 | 59 | 54 | +5 | 9.5 | ||
| 4 | Mac Hardy | 58 | 64 | 55 | +9 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Drive By | 63 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Arilena | 67 | 75 | 86 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Victor Rail | 58 | 61 | 77 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Teerex | 68 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 11.0 | - | |
| 9 | Pretty Analia | 61 | 61 | 80 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Brave Voyager | 61 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Cannatonic | - | 48 | 43 | +5 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points