Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: BETWAY WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs.R15000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Hat Trick Or Treat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Legend 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 83 80 83 +0 2 Hat Trick Or Treat 2 58.5 2 2.00 0.0 80 80 80 +0 3 The Merciful 5 52.5 3 2.50 0.0 51 67 67 +16 4 Gold De Grace 4 56.5 4 4.25 6.0 60 62 62 +2 5 Prince Of Miracles 2 52.0 5 5.00 0.0 52 64 64 +12 6 Future Knight 3 52.5 6 5.25 8.5 51 48 48 -3 7 Under The Rainbow 3 52.0 7 5.75 8.5 44 47 47 +3 8 Destiny Fulfilled 2 52.0 8 6.25 0.0 47 64 64 +17 9 Pike Place 3 54.0 9 7.75 8.5 59 51 51 -8 10 Livebythesword 2 57.5 10 8.00 0.0 67 75 75 +8 11 Mishrah 3 54.5 11 12.50 8.5 56 52 52 -4 12 Rastignac 4 59.0 12 13.25 6.0 65 66 66 +1 13 Brightest Blaze 3 52.0 13 14.25 8.5 48 47 47 -1 14 Varjury 2 52.0 14 31.25 0.0 60 64 64 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Legend | 83 | 81 | 83 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hat Trick Or Treat Line | 80 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | The Merciful | 51 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Gold De Grace | 60 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Prince Of Miracles | 52 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Future Knight | 51 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Under The Rainbow | 44 | 64 | 47 | +17 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Destiny Fulfilled | 47 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Pike Place | 59 | 57 | 51 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Livebythesword | 67 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mishrah | 56 | 61 | 52 | +9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Rastignac | 65 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Brightest Blaze | 48 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 14 | Varjury | 60 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points