Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CELEBRATING CENTURION MEMBER GREG BLANK'S BIRTHDAY OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Pocket Dial
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 My Only Weakness 3 58.0 1 0.00 8.0 78 73 73 -5 2 White Waters 2 54.0 2 0.10 0.0 73 81 81 +8 3 Pocket Dial 3 56.5 3 0.50 8.0 75 75 75 +0 4 Wedding Bells 2 55.5 4 2.25 0.0 58 87 87 +29 5 Little Lexi 3 54.0 5 2.55 8.0 55 67 67 +12 6 Blind Faith 4 54.0 6 3.80 5.0 52 72 72 +20 7 Analytic 2 61.0 7 5.05 0.0 69 95 95 +26 8 December Dawn 2 52.5 8 5.25 0.0 65 78 78 +13 9 Timeline 3 56.5 9 5.30 8.0 75 70 70 -5 10 Time In Paris 4 61.5 10 6.30 5.0 70 86 86 +16 11 Midwicket 3 57.5 11 8.05 8.0 - 72 72 +72 12 Di Rosa 4 54.5 12 8.45 5.0 56 72 72 +16 13 Expedition South 2 54.5 13 13.20 0.0 70 82 82 +12 99 Breakfast Run 2 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Sheets And Goggles 3 59.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 75 75 +0 99 Golden Ideal 3 57.5 99 0.00 8.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | My Only Weakness | 78 | 84 | 73 | +11 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | White Waters | 73 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pocket Dial Line | 75 | 76 | 75 | +1 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Wedding Bells | 58 | 52 | 87 | -35 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Little Lexi | 55 | 59 | 67 | -8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Blind Faith | 52 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Analytic | 69 | 54 | 95 | -41 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | December Dawn | 65 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Timeline | 75 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Time In Paris | 70 | 61 | 86 | -25 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Midwicket | - | 67 | 72 | -5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 12 | Di Rosa | 56 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Expedition South | 70 | 61 | 82 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Breakfast Run | - | 48 | 78 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sheets And Goggles | - | 63 | 75 | -12 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Golden Ideal | - | 56 | 72 | -16 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points