Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Lavender Bay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Little Suzie         3    57.0    1    0.00     8.5   -     58           6     +6
2    Lotus Island         2    57.0    2    3.25     0.0   -     77           77    +77
3    Lavender Bay         4    60.0    3    4.75     6.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Sansa Stark          4    60.0    4    6.00     6.0   69    69           69    +0
5    Playful Joules       2    57.0    5    6.40     0.0   72    75           75    +3
6    Forgotten Song       2    57.0    6    6.45     0.0   75    75           75    +0
7    Duchess Of Paloma    3    57.0    7    6.95     8.5   78    58           68    -10
8    Wehaveasituation     4    60.0    8    7.25     6.0   60    69           69    +9
9    Princess Beautiful   3    57.0    9    7.75     8.5   74    58           64    -10
10   Vixeninthevineyard   2    55.5    10   8.25     0.0   -     72           72    +72
11   Indebe Mayibuye      3    57.0    11   10.25    8.5   72    58           62    -10
12   Cherry Sky           3    57.0    12   10.30    8.5   71    58           61    -10
13   As The Eagle Flies   2    57.0    13   11.05    0.0   67    75           75    +8
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Little Suzie - 108 6 +102 8.5 -
2 Lotus Island - 93 77 +16 0.0 -
3 Lavender Bay Line 69 95 69 +26 6.0
4 Sansa Stark 69 63 69 -6 6.0 -
5 Playful Joules 72 62 75 -13 0.0 -
6 Forgotten Song 75 78 75 +3 0.0 -
7 Duchess Of Paloma 78 91 68 +23 8.5 -
8 Wehaveasituation 60 73 69 +4 6.0 -
9 Princess Beautiful 74 66 64 +2 8.5 -
10 Vixeninthevineyard - 64 72 -8 0.0 -
11 Indebe Mayibuye 72 79 62 +17 8.5 -
12 Cherry Sky 71 60 61 -1 8.5 -
13 As The Eagle Flies 67 67 75 -8 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points