Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: BETWAY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Shinto Shrine
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hazlo Grande 3 58.0 1 0.00 8.5 70 69 70 +0 2 Confederate 3 59.5 2 3.50 8.5 90 73 80 -10 3 Shinto Shrine 2 59.5 3 3.75 0.0 90 90 90 +0 4 Whispers Of War (AU 7 58.5 4 6.00 0.0 76 87 87 +11 5 Black Lightning 2 58.0 5 6.35 0.0 70 86 86 +16 6 Coming In Hot 3 58.5 6 8.25 8.5 71 70 70 -1 7 Golden Pavilion 2 58.5 7 13.25 0.0 72 87 87 +15 8 Diwali Rocket 3 59.5 8 14.25 8.5 90 72 80 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hazlo Grande | 70 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Confederate | 90 | 118 | 80 | +38 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Shinto Shrine Line | 90 | 80 | 90 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Whispers Of War (AUS) | 76 | 64 | 87 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Black Lightning | 70 | 64 | 86 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Coming In Hot | 71 | 76 | 70 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Golden Pavilion | 72 | 95 | 87 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Diwali Rocket | 90 | 89 | 80 | +9 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points