Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 82 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Million Voices
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Icy Lancaster 3 54.5 1 0.00 9.5 84 78 84 +0 2 Vision To Achieve 4 58.0 2 0.25 11.0 78 82 82 +4 3 Million Voices 2 55.0 3 2.05 6.5 85 85 85 +0 4 Happy Analia 4 57.0 4 2.15 11.0 76 80 80 +4 5 French Princess 2 52.0 5 2.65 6.5 66 79 79 +13 6 Siberian Winter 3 52.0 6 2.95 9.5 82 73 73 -9 7 War Empress 5 59.5 7 4.75 0.0 81 107 107 +26 8 Rani Of Jhansi 3 58.5 8 5.00 9.5 79 86 86 +7 9 Cape Capri 2 52.0 9 5.40 6.5 79 79 79 +0 10 Miss Ladyaterix 3 57.0 10 5.80 9.5 89 83 83 -6 11 Jane's Vision 2 50.5 11 7.20 6.5 71 76 76 +5 12 Tara Star 4 61.0 12 7.60 11.0 84 88 88 +4 99 Patants Heir 3 62.0 99 0.00 9.5 - 93 93 +0 99 Grey Fantacy 3 54.5 99 0.00 9.5 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Icy Lancaster | 84 | 76 | 84 | -8 | 9.5 | - | |
| 2 | Vision To Achieve | 78 | 87 | 82 | +5 | 11.0 | - | |
| 3 | Million Voices Line | 85 | 77 | 85 | -8 | 6.5 | ||
| 4 | Happy Analia | 76 | 78 | 80 | -2 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | French Princess | 66 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 6.5 | - | |
| 6 | Siberian Winter | 82 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 9.5 | - | |
| 7 | War Empress | 81 | 92 | 107 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Rani Of Jhansi | 79 | 74 | 86 | -12 | 9.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cape Capri | 79 | 63 | 79 | -16 | 6.5 | - | |
| 10 | Miss Ladyaterix | 89 | 92 | 83 | +9 | 9.5 | - | |
| 11 | Jane's Vision | 71 | 65 | 76 | -11 | 6.5 | - | |
| 12 | Tara Star | 84 | 96 | 88 | +8 | 11.0 | - | |
| 99 | Patants Heir | - | 90 | 93 | -3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | Grey Fantacy | - | 83 | 78 | +5 | 9.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points