Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BETWAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Summer Shade
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pacific 4 60.0 1 0.00 11.0 65 61 61 -4 2 Kwagga Blitz 2 58.0 2 1.75 6.5 83 66 73 -10 3 Summer Shade 4 60.0 3 2.00 11.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Ringho 4 60.0 4 2.25 11.0 48 61 61 +13 5 Espinoza 3 58.0 5 2.65 9.5 - 60 60 +60 6 Potberrie 2 58.0 6 3.65 6.5 83 66 73 -10 7 Letona 3 58.0 7 8.90 9.5 - 60 60 +60 8 Rawalpindi 2 55.5 8 9.15 6.5 61 61 61 +0 9 Old Fashioned 3 58.0 9 10.15 9.5 - 60 60 +60 10 Scarlet 3 53.5 10 18.15 9.5 53 51 51 -2 99 The Real Deal 4 60.0 99 0.00 11.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pacific | 65 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 11.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kwagga Blitz | 83 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 6.5 | - | |
| 3 | Summer Shade Line | 61 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 11.0 | ||
| 4 | Ringho | 48 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 11.0 | - | |
| 5 | Espinoza | - | 97 | 60 | +37 | 9.5 | - | |
| 6 | Potberrie | 83 | 105 | 73 | +32 | 6.5 | - | |
| 7 | Letona | - | 57 | 60 | -3 | 9.5 | - | |
| 8 | Rawalpindi | 61 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 6.5 | - | |
| 9 | Old Fashioned | - | 76 | 60 | +16 | 9.5 | - | |
| 10 | Scarlet | 53 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 9.5 | - | |
| 99 | The Real Deal | - | 50 | 61 | -11 | 11.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points