Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Preemptive Strike
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Trippi T             3    61.0    1    0.00     9.5   74    77           74    +0
2    Preemptive Strike    4    61.0    2    1.20     11.0  74    74           74    +0
3    Coming In Hot        3    58.0    3    2.10     9.5   71    71           71    +0
4    Irish Luck           2    60.5    4    3.20     6.5   73    82           82    +9
5    Samthewiseman        5    52.0    5    3.80     0.0   50    78           78    +28
6    Bob                  3    61.0    6    4.80     9.5   74    77           77    +3
7    Trentino             2    48.5    7    5.50     6.5   57    58           58    +1
8    Now I Got You        5    59.5    8    6.30     0.0   71    93           93    +22
9    Gorgeous Dude        4    60.0    9    6.70     11.0  72    72           72    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Trippi T 74 75 74 +1 9.5 -
2 Preemptive Strike Line 74 70 74 -4 11.0
3 Coming In Hot 71 76 71 +5 9.5 -
4 Irish Luck 73 72 82 -10 6.5 -
5 Samthewiseman 50 52 78 -26 0.0 -
6 Bob 74 52 77 -25 9.5 -
7 Trentino 57 54 58 -4 6.5 -
8 Now I Got You 71 67 93 -26 0.0 -
9 Gorgeous Dude 72 55 72 -17 11.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points