Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: RaceCape Powered by Hollywood Bets CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 78 & below)

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Line Horse
Fireflare
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Join The Dots        3    58.5    1    0.00     9.5   73    54           54    -19
2    Groovejet            4    60.0    2    1.75     6.0   76    69           69    -7
3    Fireflare            2    57.0    3    4.75     0.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Pointdexter          2    54.5    4    6.00     0.0   68    65           65    -3
5    Twice The Master     3    52.5    5    6.75     9.5   58    42           48    -10
6    Eternal Optimist     2    46.5    6    7.15     0.0   64    49           54    -10
7    Sudden Song          3    60.0    7    8.15     9.5   73    57           63    -10
8    Fly Futura           3    61.5    8    9.40     9.5   80    60           70    -10
9    Baton Rouge          4    61.5    9    9.60     6.0   78    67           68    -10
10   Etoilefillante       4    60.0    10   12.10    6.0   75    64           65    -10
11   Mohandas             3    58.5    11   15.35    9.5   71    54           61    -10
12   Ignatius             2    58.5    12   34.85    0.0   70    73           73    +3
99   Aladdin's Lamp       4    61.5    99   0.00     6.0   -     67           67    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Join The Dots 73 81 54 +27 9.5 -
2 Groovejet 76 82 69 +13 6.0 -
3 Fireflare Line 70 69 70 -1 0.0
4 Pointdexter 68 62 65 -3 0.0 -
5 Twice The Master 58 58 48 +10 9.5 -
6 Eternal Optimist 64 62 54 +8 0.0 -
7 Sudden Song 73 71 63 +8 9.5 -
8 Fly Futura 80 74 70 +4 9.5 -
9 Baton Rouge 78 69 68 +1 6.0 -
10 Etoilefillante 75 51 65 -14 6.0 -
11 Mohandas 71 64 61 +3 9.5 -
12 Ignatius 70 70 73 -3 0.0 -
99 Aladdin's Lamp - 106 67 +39 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points