Official NHA Assessment

Race 6: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK FM 96 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Stormy Choice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Russian Doll         2    55.5    1    0.00     6.5   90    96           90    +0
2    Stormy Choice        4    54.5    2    0.05     11.0  85    85           85    +0
3    Captain's Christy    4    60.5    3    0.35     11.0  97    97           97    +0
4    Simple Simple        5    54.0    4    0.65     0.0   84    106          106   +22
5    Shanta's Pride       3    52.0    5    2.15     9.5   78    83           83    +5
6    Convocation          5    60.5    6    2.90     0.0   97    119          119   +22
7    Sunshine Day         4    55.5    7    3.70     11.0  87    87           87    +0
8    Ubukhwebezana        4    52.0    8    5.20     11.0  80    80           80    +0
99   Pritti Victory       3    59.0    99   0.00     9.5   -     97           97    +0
99   Red Roses Too        5    55.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     109          109   +0
99   Get In The Q         5    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     113          113   +0
99   Lady Heist           2    60.5    99   0.00     6.5   -     106          106   +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Russian Doll 90 93 90 +3 6.5 -
2 Stormy Choice Line 85 81 85 -4 11.0
3 Captain's Christy 97 95 97 -2 11.0 -
4 Simple Simple 84 71 106 -35 0.0 -
5 Shanta's Pride 78 88 83 +5 9.5 -
6 Convocation 97 94 119 -25 0.0 -
7 Sunshine Day 87 69 87 -18 11.0 -
8 Ubukhwebezana 80 93 80 +13 11.0 -
99 Pritti Victory - 94 97 -3 9.5 -
99 Red Roses Too - 82 109 -27 0.0 -
99 Get In The Q - 88 113 -25 0.0 -
99 Lady Heist - 97 106 -9 6.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points